Quicken Loans Study Shows Homeowners and Appraisers Don't See Eye-to-Eye on Home Values

Staff Report

Thursday, August 10th, 2017

Homeowners across the country continue to view their property value higher than appraisers' opinions. In July, the average spread between an owner's estimate and the appraised value was 1.55 percent according to Quicken Loans' National Home Price Perception Index. Despite the national average, the range of perceptions varied across the country with valuations coming in higher than expected in some metro areas. 

Even with the varying opinions there has been a clear trend, with home values on the rise across the country. The Quicken Loans National Home Value Index reported that appraised values increased an average of 0.33 percent from June to July. The growth is even stronger on a year-over-year basis, with home values rising 4.21 percent nationally from July 2016's findings.

Home Price Perception Index

The HPPI shows appraisers' opinions fell short of homeowners' expectations by 1.55 percent, in July. This shows a narrowing gap, as homeowner estimates in June were 1.70 percent lower than appraised values. HPPI tracks differing trends across the country as real estate often fluctuates on a local basis. On average, appraisals were higher than owner expectations - the inverse of the national trend – in some of the fastest growing housing markets, including Dallas and Denver. However, some metro areas in the Northeast and the Midwest regions reported appraised values lower than owner estimates at a higher rate than the national trend.

"The home appraisal is one of the most important data points in the mortgage process. It determines the level of equity the homeowner has and, if the owner's estimate is too far from how the appraiser views the property, it can cause the mortgage to be restructured," said Bill Banfield, Quicken Loans Executive Vice President of Capital Markets. "Our hope is that this index is eye-opening for homeowners. Their home equity could be thousands of dollars higher, or lower, than they realize. If they are aware of the perceived trends in their area it could help them better prepare for their home purchase or refinance."

Home Value Index

The National HVI, based solely on appraisal data, reported home values rose an average of 0.33 percent in July. The positive momentum was even more substantial for the annual measure, showing a 4.21 percent increase year-over-year. All of the areas measured also reported annual home value growth – ranging from a 2.65 percent annual increase in the Northeast to a 5.64 percent annual rise in value in the West.

"The regional differences in home value growth mirror the perception difference across the country. Areas with slower growth were more likely to have owners overestimating their home value, and areas with much stronger growth had higher appraisals than owners realized they would be," said Banfield. "With home values constantly changing, and the rates of change varying across the country, this is one more way to show how important it is for homeowners to stay aware of their local housing market."

 

HVI

July 2017

 

January 2005 = 100

HVI

July 2017

vs.

June 2017

%Change

HVI

July 2017

vs.

July 2016

% Change

HPPI

July 2017

 

Appraiser Value vs. Homeowner Perception of Value*

HPPI

July 2016

 

Appraiser Value vs. Homeowner Perception of Value*

National Composite

103.78

+0.33%

+4.21%

-1.55%

-1.69%

*A positive value represents appraiser opinions that are higher than homeowner perceptions. A negative value represents appraiser opinions that are lower than homeowner perceptions.

 

Geographic

Regions

 

HVI

July 2017

 

January 2005 = 100

HVI

July 2017

vs.

June 2017

% Change

HVI

July 2017

vs.

July 2016

% Change

HPPI

July 2017

 

Appraiser Value vs. Homeowner Perception of Value*

HPPI

July 2016

 

Appraiser Value vs. Homeowner Perception of Value*

West

125.17

+0.28%

+5.64%

-1.30%

-1.50%

South

105.93

+0.67%

+4.34%

-1.53%

-1.65%

Midwest

86.54

+0.23%

+3.63%

-1.68%

-1.81%

Northeast

98.36

+1.60%

+2.65%

-1.73%

-1.87%

*A positive value represents appraiser opinions that are higher than homeowner perceptions. A negative value represents appraiser opinions that are lower than homeowner perceptions.

 

Metropolitan

Areas

 

HPPI

July 2017

 

Appraiser Value vs. Homeowner Perception of Value*

HPPI

June 2017

 

Appraiser Value vs. Homeowner Perception of Value*

HPPI

July 2016

 

Appraiser Value vs. Homeowner Perception of Value*

Dallas, TX

+2.83%

+2.49%

+2.16%

Denver, CO

+2.60%

+2.54%

+3.10%

Seattle, WA

+2.00%

+1.65%

+0.71%

San Francisco, CA

+1.37%

+1.30%

+2.36%

San Jose, CA

+1.37%

+1.28%

+2.52%

Portland, OR

+1.14%

+1.09%

+1.57%

Los Angeles, CA

+1.02%

+1.01%

+1.06%

Charlotte, NC

+0.82%

+0.66%

-0.65%

San Diego, CA

+0.78%

+0.78%

+0.35%

Boston, MA

+0.68%

+0.70%

+0.43%

Sacramento, CA

+0.42%

+0.47%

+1.13%

Miami, FL

+0.41%

+0.53%

-0.02%

Minneapolis, MN

+0.36%

+0.36%

-0.18%

Kansas City, MO

+0.35%

+0.00%

-1.16%

Phoenix, AZ

+0.16%

+0.09%

-0.77%

Riverside, CA

-0.02%

-0.20%

+0.51%

Houston, TX

-0.06%

+0.13%

+1.18%

Las Vegas, NV

-0.12%

-0.14%

-0.81%

Detroit, MI

-0.59%

-0.82%

-3.24%

Tampa, FL

-0.80%

-1.16%

-1.24%

Atlanta, GA

-1.03%

-1.14%

-1.12%

Washington, D.C.

-1.08%

-1.11%

-0.27%

New York, NY

-1.69%

-1.78%

-1.62%

Cleveland, OH

-2.63%

-2.64%

-2.04%

Chicago, IL

-2.65%

-2.71%

-2.37%

Baltimore, MA

-3.04%

-3.09%

-3.05%

Philadelphia, PA

-3.04%

-3.26%

-3.40%

*A positive value represents appraiser opinions that are higher than homeowner perceptions. A negative value represents appraiser opinions that are lower than homeowner perceptions.