Home Prices Remain Resilient, Rise Further in Third Quarter

Friday, October 20th, 2023

Single-family home prices increased 5.3 percent from Q3 2022 to Q3 2023, up from the previous quarter's revised annual growth rate of 2.9 percent, according to Fannie Mae's (OTCQB: FNMA) latest Home Price Index (FNM-HPI) reading, a national, repeat-transaction home price index measuring the average, quarterly price change for all single-family properties in the United States, excluding condos. On a quarterly basis, home prices rose a seasonally adjusted 2.0 percent in Q3 2023, a deceleration from 2.1 percent growth in the second quarter. On a non-seasonally adjusted basis, home prices increased by 1.7 percent in Q3 2023.

"Slightly slowing house price growth may reflect in part the affordability impact of the higher mortgage rate environment – even though prices were still solidly higher this past quarter than a year earlier," said Doug Duncan, Fannie Mae Senior Vice President and Chief Economist. "We're now in the fourth quarter, when house price appreciation typically slows, and with interest rates both higher and more volatile, it would be reasonable to expect some additional slowing in price appreciation, but the ongoing supply problems continue to drive the larger affordability challenge."

The FNM-HPI is produced by aggregating county-level data to create both seasonally adjusted and non-seasonally adjusted national indices that are representative of the whole country and designed to serve as indicators of general single-family home price trends. The FNM-HPI is publicly available at the national level as a quarterly series with a start date of Q1 1975 and extending to the most recent quarter, Q3 2023. Fannie Mae publishes the FNM-HPI approximately mid-month during the first month of each new quarter.

For more information on the FNM-HPI, including a description of the methodology and the Q3 2023 data file, please visit our Research & Insights page on fanniemae.com.

To receive e-mail updates regarding future FNM-HPI updates and other housing market research from Fannie Mae's Economic & Strategic Research Group, please click here.