Conference Board LEI for the U.S. Increased in June

Press release from the issuing company

Monday, July 21st, 2014

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index for the U.S. increased 0.3 percent in June to 102.2 (2004 = 100), following a 0.7 percent increase in May, and a 0.3 percent increase in April.

"Broad-based increases in the LEI over the last six months signal an economy that is expanding in the near term and may even somewhat accelerate in the second half," said Ataman Ozyildirim, Economist at The Conference Board. "Housing permits, the weakest indicator during this period, reflects some risk to this improving outlook. But favorable financial conditions, generally positive trends in the labor markets and the outlook for new orders in manufacturing have offset the housing market weakness over the past six months."

"The CEI shows the pace of economic activity continued to expand moderately through June," said Ken Goldstein, Economist at The Conference Board. "Stronger consumer demand driven by sustained job gains and improving confidence remains the main source of improvement for the U.S. economy. In addition to a stronger housing market, more business investment could also provide an upside to the overall economy."

The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index for the U.S. increased 0.2 percent in June to 109.2 (2004 = 100), following a 0.3 percent increase in May, and a 0.2 percent increase in April.

The Conference Board Lagging Economic Index for the U.S. increased 0.5 percent in June to 124.4 (2004 = 100), following a 0.3 percent increase in May, and a 0.4 percent increase in April.

Summary Table of Composite Economic Indexes

 
                 
 

2014

6-month

 

Apr 

 

   May

 

Jun

 

Dec to Jun

                 

Leading Index  

101.2

 

101.9

r

102.2

p

   

  Percent Change

0.3

 

0.7

r

0.3

p

2.7

 

  Diffusion

45.0

 

85.0

 

65.0

 

70.0

 
                 

Coincident Index

108.7

 

109.0

 

109.2

p

   

  Percent Change

0.2

 

0.3

 

0.2

p

1.3

 

  Diffusion

87.5

 

100.0

 

100.0

 

100.0

 
                 

Lagging Index

123.4

r

123.8

 

124.4

p

   

  Percent Change

0.4

r

0.3

r

0.5

p

2.6

 

  Diffusion

78.6

 

78.6

 

78.6

 

92.9

 
                 

p Preliminary    r Revised

               

Indexes equal 100 in 2004

               

Source: The Conference Board