Valentine's Day Shifts to Cooking and Take-Out; Gifts and Flowers Expected to Decline

Tuesday, February 9th, 2021

Numerator, a data and tech company serving the market research space, has launched a consumer sentiment study to understand how people plan to celebrate, shop and spend for Valentine's Day 2021. Overall, nearly half (45.8%) of consumers plan to celebrate at home due to COVID-19 concerns, and more than half (52.5%) plan to buy their Valentine's gifts online.

The consumer sentiment survey of 3,100 verified shoppers in January 2021 shows the following key findings:

  • Two-thirds (67.8%) of people said they bought Valentine's gifts in 2020, but less than half (47.5%) plan to do so this year.
  • Last year, more than half (54%) went out for food/drinks to celebrate. In 2021, only 1 in 5 (21%) plan to do so.
    • "Going out to eat" dropped by 27 percentage points from 2020 (44.5%) to 2021 (17.4%).
    • "Going out for drinks" dropped by 14.6 points from 2020 (20.4%) to 2021 (5.8%).
  • "Decorating/sending Valentine's cards" decreased by 11.8 points, likely impacted by schools being remote or not allowing traditional Valentine's celebrations this year.
  • "At-home entertainment" (e.g., playing games, watching movies, etc.) was the only celebration method that remained flat from 2020 to 2021.
  • "Cook at home" (+10 points) and "Order takeout/food delivery" (+12.4 points) were the only two areas that saw increases from last year.

Valentine's Day Celebration Methods
Percentage of Respondents Selecting

 

2020

2021

Point Change

Go out to eat

44.5%

17.4%

-27.1

Buy gifts (for myself or others)

67.8%

47.5%

-20.3

Go out for drinks

20.4%

5.8%

-14.6

Decorate/Send Valentine's Day cards

37.6%

25.8%

-11.8

Visit friends or family

14.4%

7.1%

-7.3

In-person entertainment

11.8%

4.7%

-7.1

Decorate my home for Valentine's Day

29.1%

22.6%

-6.5

Travel

8.7%

3.5%

-5.2

Host friends or family at home

10.2%

5.7%

-4.5

At-home entertainment

29.7%

29.3%

-0.4

Cook at home

24.7%

34.7%

10

Order takeout/food delivery

13.5%

25.9%

12.4

Source: Numerator Survey

Valentine's Gifts:

  • More than half (52.5%) of people buying Valentine's gifts plan to do so online this year.
    • 57.4% plan to buy from Mass Retailers (e.g. Target, Walmart)
    • 37.4% from Grocery Stores
    • 24.8% from Dollar Stores
    • 21.6% from Drug Stores
    • 14.1% from Club Stores
  • All gift categories included in the survey showed declines in purchase intent for 2021 vs. 2020, led by Flowers (-14.9 pts), Clothes (-12 pts), and Accessories (-10 pts).
  • In 2020, nearly half (45.8%) of Valentine's gift buyers purchased Flowers; in 2021, less than one-third (30.9%) plan to do so.
  • Candy is the most popular gifting category, with 84.4% of consumers purchasing in 2020 vs 74.9% planning to do so in 2021.
  • Experiential gifts (concert tickets, plane tickets, hotels, etc.) dropped from 14.3% in 2020 to 5.5% in 2021.

Valentine's Day Gifting Categories
Percentage of Respondents Selecting

 

2020

2021

Point Change

Flowers

45.8%

30.9%

-14.9

Clothes

32.2%

20.2%

-12

Accessories

25.2%

15.2%

-10

Jewelry

26.1%

16.2%

-9.9

Alcohol

27.9%

18.4%

-9.5

Candy

84.4%

74.9%

-9.5

Experiential

14.3%

5.5%

-8.8

Food

55.1%

46.7%

-8.4

Spa products

22.7%

15.8%

-6.9

Electronics

13.7%

9.1%

-4.6

Source: Numerator Survey

In addition to Valentine's Day, the Numerator holiday sentiment study also covers consumer sentiment around St. Patrick's Day and Easter 2021.