Trump lead Over Harris in Georgia Within Margin of Error

Dave Williams

Thursday, July 25th, 2024

Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are locked in a tight race in Georgia, according to a new poll.

Trump held a slight lead over Harris among 400 likely voters surveyed by Landmark Communications, 48.0% to 46.7%. But that’s well within the poll’s 5% margin of error.

Harris, who has become the presumptive Democratic nominee for president since President Joe Biden dropped out of the race last Sunday, is polling better than the incumbent in Georgia. Before Biden quit the contest, he was trailing Trump in the Peach State by a solid margin.

Trump’s razor-thin advantage over Harris didn’t change significantly when Landmark gauged support for other candidates in the race. In a six-way contest, Trump led with 45.8% of the vote to 44.3% for Harris. Independent Robert Kennedy Jr. was next at 4.0%, with independent Cornel West at 1.1%, and Libertarian Chase Oliver and the Green Party’s Jill Stein each getting just 0.3% of the vote.

Harris’ showing was strongest among younger, Black and female voters. While she trailed Trump slightly among voters ages 18 to 35, she led among voters ages 36 to 50 by more than 3 points. Trump led Harris among voters age 51 and older.

The racial divide between the two was pronounced. Harris, vying to become the first Black woman elected president, led Trump among Black voters by 79.7% to 11.0%. Trump held a large advantage among white voters, 61.1% to 28.4%.

Trump held a slightly larger lead among male voters than Harris among women surveyed by Landmark. Among males voters, Trump dominated at 54.7% to 35.1% for Harris. She led among female voters, 52.1% to 38.1%.

Not surprisingly, each candidate cornered the market among voters affiliated with their party, with Trump favored by 87.8% of Republicans and Harris supported by 88.8% of Democrats. Harris led among independents, 40.9% to 31.8% for Trump.

Capitol Beat is a nonprofit news service operated by the Georgia Press Educational Foundation that provides coverage of state government to newspapers throughout Georgia. For more information visit capitol-beat.org.